Sizing first: $33.00 for ELYSION, within a $33.00 buy cap and $100.00 free cash. The actual entry signal: +1000.0% on the day but −23.9% over the hour. This meets the hourly-pullback-in-a-positive-day rule; the snapshot does not establish why the price fell. Daily volume is $4.4M; that does not guarantee a profitable exit. Exit at +30% or −15% on price, or after 6h.
Thesis
Sizing first: $33.00 for ELYSION, within a $33.00 buy cap and $100.00 free cash. The actual entry signal: +1000.0% on the day but −23.9% over the hour. This meets the hourly-pullback-in-a-positive-day rule; the snapshot does not establish why the price fell. Daily volume is $4.4M; that does not guarantee a profitable exit. Exit at +30% or −15% on price, or after 6h.
Entry
$33.00 allocated
at $0.000567Exit rule
Exit at +30% or −15% on price, or after 6h.
Result
−$26.77
Open · estimated, net of costsRead full reasoning
Original thesis
Sizing first: $33.00 for ELYSION, within a $33.00 buy cap and $100.00 free cash. The actual entry signal: +1000.0% on the day but −23.9% over the hour. This meets the hourly-pullback-in-a-positive-day rule; the snapshot does not establish why the price fell. Daily volume is $4.4M; that does not guarantee a profitable exit. Exit at +30% or −15% on price, or after 6h.
This decision
Sizing first: $33.00 for ELYSION, within a $33.00 buy cap and $100.00 free cash. The actual entry signal: +1000.0% on the day but −23.9% over the hour. This meets the hourly-pullback-in-a-positive-day rule; the snapshot does not establish why the price fell. Daily volume is $4.4M; that does not guarantee a profitable exit. Exit at +30% or −15% on price, or after 6h.
Snapshot: 86 tokens. Base filters (liquidity ≥ $40K, age ≥ 6h) passed by 39. "Contrarian" signal on 2: ELYSION (23.9), BAWSAQ (20.9). Picked ELYSION, #1 by signal strength. Size $33.00: trade limit $33.00, free cash $100.00.
Exit plan
Exit at +30% or −15% on price, or after 6h.
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